| Archives 6/24/09
'Golden Cross' points to more upside on markets That seems to be the case today, atleast. Stocks are surging despite lousy economic fundamentals.
In the short term, this bull may have further to run with the SPX peaking at 1,200 before entering yet another deep bear market. The recent contraction in volume isn't necessarily bearish since stock prices aren't rising.
Short term, hyperinflation is a possibility with oil topping $100 and gas $5/gallon. The fed will stop at nothing to reinflate another bubble, even if middle America pays through the nose. Also, core CPI is a poor indicator of true inflation since it conveniently excludes food and energy.
The charts showing S&P earnings declines seem exagerated. With consumers de-leveraging, this is NOT the buying opportunity of a lifetime. There is a no catalyst for a repeat of the 40's, 50's, 80's or 90's bull makarets.
The next shoe will drop eventually. It is far too premature to call a recovery when many indicators suggest stabilization at best. In fact, there may never be a recovery unless you define 1% YOY GDP growth as such.
I find it odd how liberal writers from the Huffington Post are advocating the same spendthrift, inflationary economic policies as Greenspan and George W. Bush; policies that hurt lower and middle class people.
But now stocks seem to be on the rise yet again. This is why I don't put much faith in moving averages. The SPX will retest march lows based on poor economic fundamentals.
That seems to be the case today, atleast. Stocks are surging despite lousy economic fundamentals.
In the short term, this bull may have further to run with the SPX peaking at 1,200 before entering yet another deep bear market. The recent contraction in volume isn't necessarily bearish since stock prices aren't rising.
Short term, hyperinflation is a possibility with oil topping $100 and gas $5/gallon. The fed will stop at nothing to reinflate another bubble, even if middle America pays through the nose. Also, core CPI is a poor indicator of true inflation since it conveniently excludes food and energy.
The charts showing S&P earnings declines seem exagerated. With consumers de-leveraging, this is NOT the buying opportunity of a lifetime. There is a no catalyst for a repeat of the 40's, 50's, 80's or 90's bull makarets.
It looks like the rally decided to stick. There is a possibility that insiders are merely taking profits after a sudden, huge rally. The problem with these kind of articles is they tend to give false hope for short-term, retail short sellers. Citigroup Is Said to Be Raising Pay for Workers It's reassuring to know that our tax dollars are being put to good use. /sarcasm The fed's goal is to transfer America's economic sovereignty over to the Chinese in order prop up the failing economy. Fear gauge is on the rise, but not fear itself At this stage you can't infer anyting useful from the vix. It will remain range bound between 25-40, regardless of the overall market. Exit Ahead? Not So Fast But on the other hand, commodity prices are surging and other economic indicators are bottoming. Maybe the fed should consider removing the punch bowl before gas hits $5/gallon, but good luck with that. The World Bank forecast may be true, but the price moentum is def. bullish, which is why I'm long (for now). The New Regulations Will Fail, And Here's Why No kidding. Already, things are returning to how they were before. The fed is reinflating a bubble. Citi increasing salaries with tax payer TARP money. Stock Losses in Oughts as Bad as in 1930s Depression It's gonna get much worse. The SPX may peak at 1200 short term, but eventually break March 2009 lows as the deflationary spiral resumes.
|